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Trent Horn and Cameron Bertuzzi vs Alex O'Connor and Joe Schmid: Problem of Evil · 2022

Horn and Bertuzzi defend theodicy and Christian hope; O'Connor and Schmid press evidential evil, animal suffering, and the cost of skeptical replies. Overall side scores: Catholic-Protestant theodicy 78; Atheist-agnostic evil critique 84. The full scorecard maps transcript-grounded claims, rebuttals, critiques, and timestamped sources.

Question and assessment context

Does suffering, especially animal suffering and apparently gratuitous evil, make perfect-being theism improbable, or can theodicy, skeptical theism, higher goods, and Christian hope answer the challenge?

Based on the complete debate transcript. Summaries are condensed for clarity, and quotations are kept brief and faithful to the source.

Scores are AI-generated estimates of argumentative performance and are intended as transparent, revisable judgments rather than final verdicts.

Slugfester’s assessment reviewers and adjudicators are independent AI agents called by the administrative AI.

Watch the original debate

Overall assessment

About these scores · Q&A

Trent Horn and Cameron Bertuzzi — Catholic-Protestant theodicy: 78/100

Published strengths

  • Horn and Bertuzzi avoided easy answers, repeatedly distinguishing omnipotence, metaphysical possibility, theodicy, defense, and axiological starting points.
  • Their strongest replies treated evil as part of a broader worldview comparison rather than as a one-argument knockout.
  • They connected the abstract problem to Christian hope, final restoration, and the existential need for evil to be defeated.

Published weaknesses

  • Their animal-suffering replies leaned on speculative compensation and uncertainty about animal experience while the scale of suffering remained vivid.
  • Their skeptical-theist resources sometimes protected theism by widening unknown divine reasons without equally clear constraints.
  • Their privation and divine-goodness replies depended on prior metaphysical commitments not established within the panel.

Alex O'Connor and Joe Schmid — Atheist-agnostic evil critique: 84/100

Published strengths

  • O'Connor and Schmid kept the central evidential burden clear: vast animal suffering is more expected on indifference than on perfect-being theism.
  • They pressed the cost of skeptical theism by showing how hidden reasons can also weaken natural theology and ordinary moral prediction.
  • Their higher-order-goods critiques used concrete examples, especially racism, cancer, and animal pain, to test whether the proposed goods really justify the evils.

Published weaknesses

  • Their parasitic-goods objections sometimes relied on strong intuitive judgments about which possible worlds are better.
  • Their evil-god symmetry challenge risked underplaying the metaphysical difference a privation theory makes if that theory is accepted.
  • Their closing wish-fulfillment caution did not distinguish enough between a belief's psychological appeal and its truth value.

Section-by-section summary

These are excerpts from the published assessment, not a new evaluation. Each section shows its score and one representative assessed move from each side.

Power And Higher Goods

01:17-16:15

Trent Horn and Cameron Bertuzzi — section score 79/100

The theist side says omnipotence is not compromised if no amount of power can realize goods without certain evils.

The omnipotence move is useful because it prevents a crude version of the problem of evil from demanding contradictions. If free will, courage, compassion, or other goods really cannot exist without some risk, fear, or suffering, then God's inability to separate them would not be a defect in power. The argument also distinguishes perfect-being theism from a weaker God who merely wants to help but cannot. The weakness is that the key modal premise is asserted more than shown. Listeners are asked to accept that important goods require evils of the actual kind and scale. The score is solid because the distinction is legitimate, but it does not yet justify this world's suffering.

Alex O'Connor and Joe Schmid — section score 82/100

O'Connor says many theodicies make God unable to prevent suffering because some desired good supposedly requires it.

O'Connor's pressure on theodicy is strong because it translates familiar defenses into a shared structure. Whether the good is free will, courage, or higher-order virtue, the explanation often says God has a valuable aim that cannot be realized without suffering. That exposes how much turns on the alleged necessity relation. The weakness is that he risks flattening important distinctions among logical impossibility, divine obligation, and voluntarily chosen means. A free-will defense and a soul-making defense do not all have the same burden. Still, the move usefully asks whether theodicies are simply relocating limits into the goods God wants. The score is high because the structure is clear and relevant.

Logical Or Evidential

16:17-25:53

Trent Horn and Cameron Bertuzzi — section score 80/100

Horn distinguishes any evil disproving God from particular quantities or qualities of evil making God unlikely.

Horn's threshold distinction is useful because it identifies a real difference between all-or-none incompatibility and evidence from kinds or quantities of suffering. If an atheist grants that some suffering could be justified, the theist can fairly ask why similar defenses cannot extend to harder cases. That is a legitimate pressure point, especially for animal suffering or extreme evils framed as probabilistic evidence. The weakness is that the distinction can look overly tidy. O'Connor is right that a deductively valid argument can focus on a specified range of facts rather than any evil whatsoever. The score is strong because Horn clarifies a real dialectical issue, but it does not dissolve the evidential argument.

Alex O'Connor and Joe Schmid — section score 84/100

O'Connor says the logical/evidential distinction can be used rhetorically to weaken evil arguments unfairly.

O'Connor's criticism of the logical/evidential distinction is strong because it exposes a debate tactic: treat a deductive evil argument as dead unless every premise is logically necessary, while allowing other deductive arguments to rest on defended but contestable premises. His Kalam comparison usefully shows why that standard would be odd if applied consistently. The weakness is that he initially seems to use logical in a broader sense than the traditional any-evil incompatibility argument, which creates some semantic friction. Once he clarifies that a logical argument can target a specified evil, the point improves. The score is high because the objection protects evil arguments from being dismissed by label management.

Animal Suffering

25:54-42:22

Trent Horn and Cameron Bertuzzi — section score 75/100

Horn says Catholic options include animals suffering less than assumed or being compensated with endless fulfillment.

Horn's survey of animal-suffering replies is helpful because it shows the theist has more than one possible route. He distinguishes minimizing animal suffering, denying moral blameworthiness, and compensating conscious animals through fulfillment or resurrection. That keeps the problem from being treated as if no Christian philosopher has noticed it. The weakness is that the answers feel speculative at exactly the point where the suffering is vivid. An animal afterlife or cognitive boost may be theologically allowed, but the panel gives little reason to think it is true. Minimizing animal suffering also risks underplaying visible distress, predation, and disease. The score is solid because the options are real, but their evidential support is thin.

Alex O'Connor and Joe Schmid — section score 88/100

Schmid says natural selection builds predation, parasitism, death, and hundreds of millions of years of animal suffering into creation.

Schmid's animal-suffering argument is the strongest evidential case in the panel. He frames it probabilistically: a world where natural reality is indifferent predicts predation, disease, parasitism, and vast suffering more readily than perfect-being theism does. The koala fire example makes the scale concrete without becoming the whole argument. The strength is that animal suffering bypasses many human free-will defenses and focuses on the means by which life developed. The weakness is that the argument depends on comparative expectations about what God would choose, which skeptical theists dispute. Still, the burden lands hard: evolutionary suffering is not a marginal blemish but woven into the creative process. The score is very high.

Skeptical Theism

42:29-50:24

Trent Horn and Cameron Bertuzzi — section score 78/100

Horn says skeptical theism need not paralyze us because the unknown good might be our stopping the suffering.

Horn's reply to moral paralysis is one of the better defenses of skeptical theism. If our knowledge is limited, then we also cannot rule out that the relevant good is precisely our intervention, rescue, or obedience to a known moral command. That blocks the easy conclusion that mysterious divine reasons should make us passive. The weakness is that this answer mainly saves everyday moral action; it does not fully restore our ability to assess God's permission of evils. If our sample of goods and evils is deeply unrepresentative, many natural-theology predictions may still weaken. The score is solid because the paralysis objection is answered locally, but skeptical theism remains costly.

Alex O'Connor and Joe Schmid — section score 84/100

O'Connor and Schmid warn that if God's reasons are too hidden, skeptical theism can erode natural theology and moral inference.

The universal-acid worry is strong because it targets the cost of skeptical theism rather than merely mocking mystery. If humans are too cognitively limited to judge whether horrific suffering is probable on theism, then it becomes harder to run fine-tuning, design, or providence arguments that require predictions about what God would do. O'Connor's drowning-child example also gives the worry moral teeth. The weakness is that the strongest forms of skeptical theism can combine revealed duties, local moral knowledge, and more cautious probability claims. That prevents a total collapse into paralysis. Still, the critique identifies a real tradeoff: hiding reasons for evil may also hide expected divine behavior. The score is high.

Goodness And Evil God

50:28-56:25

Trent Horn and Cameron Bertuzzi — section score 81/100

Horn says the evil-god challenge depends on treating good and evil as symmetric substances, not on a privation view of evil.

Horn's privation reply is a substantive answer to Stephen Law's evil-god symmetry. If evil is not a competing positive substance but a privation of good, then a wholly evil necessary being may be incoherent in a way a wholly good God is not. That gives the theist a principled asymmetry rather than simply saying the evil-god hypothesis feels absurd. The weakness is that the reply inherits all the contested metaphysics of the privation theory. The panel cannot establish that account, and critics can ask whether horrendous suffering behaves like mere rust on metal rather than a positive experiential reality. The score is strong because the response is relevant, but its foundation remains disputed.

Alex O'Connor and Joe Schmid — section score 82/100

O'Connor says a good God faces a problem of evil just as an evil God faces a problem of good.

O'Connor's evil-god symmetry is a useful parity test. If theists dismiss an evil God because the world contains too much joy, order, and love, then atheists can ask why a good God is not similarly pressured by suffering. The argument is especially effective against ad hoc theodicies because equivalent reverse theodicies can be built for good under evil God. The weakness is that the symmetry depends on contested assumptions about good and evil. Classical theists can deny that evil is metaphysically parallel to good, and Horn does exactly that. The score is strong because the challenge exposes special pleading risks, but it is not decisive against privation-based theism.

Parasitic Goods

56:25-1:04:16

Trent Horn and Cameron Bertuzzi — section score 79/100

Horn asks whether it is better for evil never to exist or for evil to be defeated and redeemed.

Horn's defeated-evil vision is the most pastorally powerful theistic move. By invoking Les Miserables, restoration, and final compensation, he shifts the frame from suffering as a mere input cost to evil as something overcome within a larger story. That captures an important Christian intuition: redemption is not just pain plus arithmetic reward, but the transformation of tragedy. The weakness is that narrative beauty is not yet justification. The fact that a story of defeat and reunion is moving does not show that real racism, cancer, predation, or grief were worth permitting. The score is strong because the move explains Christianity's emotional force, but it needs stronger moral warrant.

Alex O'Connor and Joe Schmid — section score 84/100

O'Connor says praising virtues born from suffering can sound like being glad cancer exists because cancer research is good.

O'Connor's cancer-research analogy is one of the clearest attacks on parasitic-goods theodicy. It shows how strange it sounds to celebrate a good whose value depends on first allowing a grave evil. Cancer research, fundraising, and compassion are real goods, but most people would prefer no cancer and no need for those goods. The strength is that the analogy transfers directly to racism and bravery. The weakness is that theists can reply that some goods are not merely remedial utilities but components of a redeemed personal history. That reply needs work, but it prevents the analogy from covering every case. The score is high because the example makes the moral cost vivid.

Antinatalism And Hope

1:04:21-1:13:31

Trent Horn and Cameron Bertuzzi — section score 82/100

Horn says antinatalism debates about having children resemble theist replies about creating lives with goods and harms.

Horn's antinatalism analogy is a clever late move. If many non-theists think it can be reasonable to have children despite foreseeable harms, then they already accept that bringing a vulnerable life into existence can be justified by goods, relationships, and the shape of a whole life. That makes some theistic creation replies less alien. The weakness is that the analogy has major limits. Human parents do not design biology, consent conditions, predation, disease, or eternal outcomes, while God would. They also lack omnipotent alternatives. The score is strong because the analogy reveals a shared moral structure, but it cannot carry the full creator-creature comparison morally.

Alex O'Connor and Joe Schmid — section score 80/100

O'Connor says theodicy often assumes consequentialism even though many religious thinkers are otherwise deontological.

O'Connor's deontology challenge is a useful reframing. Theodicies often talk as if enough good can outweigh suffering, yet many Christian moral theories reject simple consequentialist balancing. If God has duties to bring about free will, compassion, or courage, then the defense may be less about net utility and more about required goods. That clarifies what kind of moral theory the theist needs. The weakness is that O'Connor mostly opens a complication rather than developing it into a direct objection. Horn can answer that God's action is teleological without being crude consequentialism. The score is strong because the point exposes an unspoken moral framework, but it remains exploratory.